Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.071914 2.382701 2.728137 3.141233 3.622711 4.167244 4.831286
2025-04-27 1.577965 1.983992 2.480584 3.135639 3.981490 5.042904 6.485195
2025-05-04 1.355275 1.809557 2.402381 3.238862 4.398708 5.964635 8.263489
2025-05-11 1.172494 1.642267 2.287940 3.249934 4.663535 6.690503 9.863872
2025-05-18 1.034442 1.509219 2.191372 3.256531 4.902688 7.390916 11.514345
2025-05-25 0.900880 1.361248 2.048495 3.166227 4.971481 7.829817 12.811782
2025-06-01 0.824543 1.287417 2.003651 3.214183 5.252884 8.627212 14.801413
2025-06-08 0.765893 1.232679 1.979430 3.287668 5.579227 9.534327 17.113752
2025-06-15 0.703440 1.163692 1.922598 3.296409 5.791177 10.266694 19.219998
2025-06-22 0.635731 1.077978 1.827345 3.224746 5.847003 10.720543 20.863515
2025-06-29 0.581309 1.009014 1.752730 3.179381 5.941974 11.254003 22.741103
2025-07-06 0.530352 0.940763 1.671787 3.111643 5.983224 11.684744 24.469893
2025-07-13 0.507680 0.926355 1.695886 3.265030 6.518387 13.258139 29.120712
2025-07-20 0.465465 0.872010 1.641524 3.262609 6.749344 14.270189 32.810756
2025-07-27 0.441090 0.848351 1.642195 3.370194 7.227287 15.895265 38.301238
2025-08-03 0.409311 0.806130 1.600455 3.381759 7.494877 17.093187 43.016684
2025-08-10 0.380670 0.766805 1.559548 3.388646 7.751868 18.311127 48.072382
2025-08-17 0.346259 0.711593 1.478726 3.294383 7.754045 18.907011 51.582816
2025-08-24 0.327468 0.687426 1.461603 3.344440 8.116406 20.480216 58.256599
2025-08-31 0.312378 0.669569 1.456123 3.421150 8.558795 22.348083 66.292804
2025-09-07 0.293733 0.641744 1.424846 3.430274 8.826655 23.793264 73.406967
2025-09-14 0.271235 0.602802 1.363514 3.355466 8.856726 24.574866 78.586794
2025-09-21 0.252587 0.570895 1.315315 3.308112 8.955876 25.579299 84.802100